Touros do petróleo WTI de olho em US$ 83.00
A preocupação com a oferta global mais restrita provocada pela escalada do conflito no Médio Oriente poderá impulsionar os preços do petróleo neste início de semana
AUD: jobs report pushed it down
2020-05-14 • Atualizado
AUD has a pause on the way up as 600,000 people lost jobs. Is it a short-term correction or change of a course?
Devastating unemployment rise
"A very tough day, terribly shocking, although not unanticipated", - said Scott Morrison, the Australian Prime Minister. These days it’s really hard to surprise someone with a weak economic data. We already got used to it. However, it weighed some pressure on AUD, but it wasn’t the only one reason that pushed it down.
Powell’s negative prognosis
Jerome Powell, the Fed chairman, gave a quite pessimistic outlook. He claimed that there is a high risk of the future deep downturn. Most economists and even Donald Trump discussed the positive impact of negative rates on economic activity. Nevertheless, Powell was unmoved, he rejected that possibility. This negative perspective pushed USD up and AUD down. The Australian dollar is really sensitive to all the market fluctuations.
Risk-off market
Those reasons were enough for the market-sensitive AUD to fall, but the overall risk-averse and fears of the second coronavirus wave destroyed the poor aussie completely. AUD, NZD, CAD, GBP, stock indexes such as S&P 500 and Dow Jones – all together are suffering. Things can improve only when the market will switch to the risk-on sentiment.
What does the chart tell us?
The AUD/USD had been increasing since March 23 and it almost bounced back to its pre-crisis position. The price hit the 100-day moving average twice at 0.655. If it dips down to 0.633, what is quite possible, it may go even lower to the support line at 0.627 where is the 50-day moving average. Most analysts have bearish scenarios for the aussie. However, if it gains and crosses the resistance level at 0.649, it will go further up to 0.655.
Semelhante
Incertezas no Oriente Médio fazem os preços do petróleo subirem
O cumprimento dos cortes de produção da OPEP+ aumentou, com as exportações a caírem cerca de 900.000 barris em fevereiro, o nível mais baixo desde agosto/23
Investidores de olho nos PMIs da EU e dos EUA
Na ocasião, os mercados estarão analisando esses dados (principalmente nos EUA) e ver se superaram as expectativas ou contraíram ainda mais
Últimas notícias
Ofertas de Empregos Jots no radar dos touros do dólar
Depois da queda no mês de março em cerca de 26 mil vagas de emprego, a expectativa do mercado é de nova queda para 8,790M para o mês de fevereiro do mesmo ano
Investidores de olho no PMI Industrial do ISM
Nesta segunda-feira, primeiro dia do mês de abril, os EUA liberam os números dos PMIs da S&P Global e do ISM para a indústria
As expectativas dos mercados giram em torno do PCE dos EUA
Todas as atenções estarão nos preços básicos do PCE (núcleo) dos EUA, que excluem alimentos e energia para o mês de março, com a expectativa de que os números venham abaixo do mês anterior, que registraram um aumento de 0,4%
